BlackRock Boosts US Stock Bet to 3% Amid AI Rally Doubts
BlackRock Increases US Equity Exposure to 3%

BlackRock Makes Bold Move in US Stock Markets

In a significant strategic shift, global investment giant BlackRock Inc. is increasing its exposure to US equities across its massive $185 billion model-portfolio platform. This move comes at a crucial time when investors are questioning whether the artificial intelligence-driven market rally can maintain its momentum through 2025.

The world's largest asset manager has decided to boost its overweight positioning on equities to 3%, according to an investment outlook document reviewed by Bloomberg. This represents a notable increase in risk appetite following similar adjustments made in September.

Massive Capital Flows Follow Strategy Change

The revised allocations triggered substantial capital movements between BlackRock exchange-traded funds on Tuesday. Bloomberg data reveals that billions of dollars were repositioned as the new strategy took effect, demonstrating the enormous influence BlackRock's model portfolio decisions have on market flows.

BlackRock's confidence in US stocks appears undeterred by recent market jitters. While the S&P 500's impressive six-month rally has shown signs of weakening in November, the investment firm believes Corporate America's strong earnings performance and cooling inflation create a favorable environment.

Michael Gates, lead portfolio manager for BlackRock's Target Allocation ETF model portfolio suite, explained the reasoning behind the move. "A strong recent earnings season, an easing Fed, and a generally friendlier liquidity backdrop make the case for staying constructively tilted toward risk," Gates wrote in the investment outlook.

Strategic Shift from Growth to Value and Momentum

As part of its increased overweight position on US stocks, BlackRock is implementing significant changes to its factor-level allocations. The asset manager is now favoring value and momentum equities while reducing exposure to growth-oriented shares.

The data reveals dramatic fund movements reflecting this strategy. A record $4.2 billion exited the iShares MSCI USA Quality Factor ETF (QUAL) in the most recent trading session. Meanwhile, substantial inflows were recorded in value and momentum funds, with $3.2 billion moving into the iShares S&P 500 Value ETF (IVE) and $1.3 billion entering the iShares MSCI USA Momentum Factor ETF (MTUM).

Gates elaborated on this rotational strategy, noting that "market leadership has continued to rotate, with momentum strategies capturing recent trends and value exposures providing important balance. While growth remains a vital theme, we are deliberately reducing some overweight to growth by adding to value, and pivoting from quality to momentum."

Fixed Income Adjustments and Broader Implications

The strategic revisions extended beyond equities into fixed income markets, where BlackRock also identified stretched valuations. The firm added the iShares Systematic Bond ETF (SYSB) to its model portfolio, triggering a $175 million inflow that more than doubled the fund's assets.

Gates expressed caution about bond market conditions, stating that "bond valuations remain stretched, with spreads near historical tights and limited compensation for credit risk."

The growing importance of model portfolios in investment management cannot be overstated. These ready-made strategies, which package together various funds for financial advisers, have seen explosive growth in recent years. BlackRock's model assets have surged from $150 billion earlier this year to the current $185 billion, giving the firm tremendous influence over market flows through its allocation decisions.

All eyes now turn to semiconductor giant Nvidia Corp., whose quarterly results due Wednesday evening will provide an early test for BlackRock's thesis about continuing strength in corporate earnings, particularly in the AI sector that has driven much of this year's market gains.