MCX Silver Surges 6% Upper Circuit After 46% Plunge: India-US Trade Deal Sparks Rally
Silver Hits 6% Upper Circuit After 46% Crash: Trade Deal Impact

MCX Silver Prices Stage Dramatic Rebound After Steep 46% Decline

In a remarkable turnaround, MCX Silver prices surged dramatically on Tuesday, February 3, hitting the 6% upper circuit limit at ₹2,50,436 per kilogram. This sharp recovery follows a brutal three-session selloff that had dragged silver prices down by a staggering 46% from recent peak levels, highlighting the extreme volatility currently gripping the precious metals market.

Gold Prices Also Register Significant Gains

Parallel to silver's rally, MCX Gold prices also demonstrated strong upward momentum, climbing by 3% to reach ₹1,48,310 per 10 grams. The synchronized recovery in both precious metals indicates a broader market sentiment shift after the recent period of intense liquidation and price pressure.

India-US Trade Deal Emerges as Key Market Catalyst

The dramatic price movements were significantly influenced by a major macroeconomic development: the announcement of a trade agreement between the United States and India. US President Donald Trump revealed the deal, which involves the US reducing tariffs on Indian goods from 50% to 18%. In exchange, India has agreed to halt purchases of Russian oil and lower certain trade barriers.

This agreement has injected a fresh geopolitical dimension into commodity markets that were already experiencing heightened uncertainty. The trade deal's implications for global trade flows, currency dynamics, and economic relations have added substantial volatility to precious metals trading, contributing to the sharp price swings observed.

Analyzing the Market Recovery and Future Outlook

The recent 46% crash in silver prices from peak levels represented one of the most severe corrections in recent commodity market history. The abrupt unwinding of what had been a record-breaking rally left traders and investors reeling, with many questioning the sustainability of precious metals' bull run.

However, Tuesday's powerful rebound suggests that underlying demand for silver and gold remains robust, with market participants potentially viewing the steep decline as a buying opportunity. The combination of technical factors, macroeconomic developments, and geopolitical considerations has created a complex trading environment where rapid price movements have become increasingly common.

Market analysts are now closely monitoring whether this recovery represents a temporary bounce or the beginning of a more sustained rally. The India-US trade deal will continue to influence market sentiment, particularly as details emerge about its implementation and broader economic implications. Additionally, global factors including inflation concerns, central bank policies, and geopolitical tensions will likely contribute to ongoing volatility in precious metals markets.

Investors and traders are advised to exercise caution and conduct thorough analysis before making trading decisions in this highly volatile environment. The extreme price movements witnessed in recent sessions underscore the importance of risk management strategies when participating in commodity markets.