In a significant development raising regional security concerns, prominent Baloch leader Mir Yar Baloch has issued a stark warning about the potential deployment of Chinese military forces in Pakistan's restive Balochistan province. In an open letter addressed to India's External Affairs Minister, Dr. S. Jaishankar, and shared on social media platform X on New Year's Day, Baloch claimed such a move could materialize within the next few months, stemming from the deepening strategic alliance between Islamabad and Beijing.
An Open Letter Detailing Grave Concerns
The detailed communication from Mir Yar Baloch outlines a grim picture of the situation in Balochistan and the perceived dangers of the China-Pakistan nexus. He asserted that the people of Balochistan have endured 79 years of state occupation, sponsored terrorism, and severe human rights abuses under Pakistani control. The letter frames the China-Pakistan Economic Corridor (CPEC), President Xi Jinping's flagship Belt and Road Initiative project traversing the region, as a central point of contention.
"The Republic of Balochistan views the escalating strategic alliance between Pakistan and China as profoundly dangerous," Baloch wrote. He noted that the two countries are moving rapidly towards the final stages of CPEC, which he believes sets the stage for greater militarization.
A Dire Prediction and a Call for Support
The core warning in the letter is explicit. Mir Yar Baloch stated that unless the resistance and defence forces of Balochistan are significantly strengthened and given serious attention, the region could soon witness a direct Chinese military footprint. "It is conceivable that China could deploy its military forces in Balochistan within a few months," the letter cautioned.
He further emphasized that any such deployment without the consent of the Baloch people—whom he numbered at 60 million—would have severe repercussions. "The presence of Chinese boots on Balochistani soil... would pose an unimaginable threat and challenge to the futures of both Bharat and Balochistan," he argued, directly linking the region's stability to India's security.
Praise for India and a Firm Stance on CPEC
In a notable section of the letter, Mir Yar Baloch commended the Indian government's military actions. He specifically praised the Modi government's Operation Sindoor, conducted in response to the Pahalgam terror attack that killed 26 people, which targeted terror infrastructure in Pakistan and Pakistan-occupied Jammu and Kashmir. He described these strikes as demonstrating "exemplary courage and a steadfast commitment to regional security and justice."
This perspective aligns with India's longstanding official position on CPEC. The Indian government has consistently opposed the corridor, stating it passes through Indian territory in Jammu, Kashmir, and Ladakh that is illegally occupied by Pakistan. In a Rajya Sabha reply earlier this year, Minister of State for External Affairs Kirti Vardhan Singh reiterated that India protests the project and finds any third-country involvement in CPEC unacceptable.
New Year Greetings and Awaiting Response
Concluding his message, Mir Yar Baloch extended New Year 2026 greetings to the people and institutions of India, reflecting on the historical and cultural ties between Balochistan and Bharat. As of now, there has been no official response from the governments of India, China, or Pakistan to the specific claims made in this open letter. Both Beijing and Islamabad have repeatedly denied that CPEC has any military dimension, maintaining it is purely an economic development project.
The letter amplifies the ongoing geopolitical tensions surrounding CPEC and highlights the complex interplay of sovereignty, security, and regional influence involving Balochistan, Pakistan, China, and India.
