India's Growth Faces Risks from El Nino and Middle East Conflict
India remains the fastest-growing major economy, but faces inflation risks from El Nino, high crude prices, and supply disruptions due to the Middle East conflict.
India remains the fastest-growing major economy, but faces inflation risks from El Nino, high crude prices, and supply disruptions due to the Middle East conflict.
Reliance Industries reported a 12.5% decline in Q4 net profit to Rs 16,971 crore, impacted by the Middle East crisis. Revenue rose 13% to Rs 2.98 lakh crore.
The Indian rupee has fallen nearly 5% in 2025, reaching a record low against the dollar and weakening against other currencies. Its real effective exchange rate dropped to 92.72, well below the long-term average.
The Indian rupee weakened by 22 paise to close at 94.23 against the US dollar on Friday, as uncertainty over ship movement through the Strait of Hormuz and global fuel price volatility triggered selling in domestic equity markets and foreign fund outflows
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RecommendedCrude oil futures declined to Rs 9,127 per barrel on Monday due to weak demand, despite global market volatility from US tariffs on China and recession fears.
India plans to import a record 2.5 million metric tons of urea at double the price to meet domestic demand, impacting farmers and the economy.
Finance Minister Nirmala Sitharaman says consumption is driving growth and predictable policies are essential for India's GDP. She urged banks to focus on physical customer contact.
Indian Railways introduces two new Amrit Bharat trains connecting Varanasi-Ayodhya and Mumbai-Pune, enhancing rail connectivity in Uttar Pradesh and Maharashtra.
Bernstein analysts have written an open letter to PM Modi highlighting eight critical areas including agriculture, AI, and manufacturing to transform India's economy from low-end labor arbitrage to a higher productive track.
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RecommendedKarnataka Energy Minister K.J. George launched BESCOM's HT Mitra service portal to streamline high-tension power connections and enhance consumer services.
For workers near the wage floor, macroeconomic shifts mean fewer meals, delayed rent, and reduced remittances. India's labour issue is now a supply chain concern.
Ludhiana's finance committee approves revised tenders for integrated solid waste management and road cleaning, with costs rising to Rs 1,408.6 crore and Rs 70 crore respectively.
Rising temperatures in Pune have caused a spike in electricity demand, leading to frequent power cuts and grid instability. Residents report disruptions affecting work and sleep, while MSEDCL officials cite overload and theft as key issues.
Residents of Kartarpura, Jaipur, demand relocation of a railway laundry facility causing air and water pollution near a school. MP Manju Sharma assured intervention.
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RecommendedThe RBI has cautioned that ongoing West Asia conflict could trigger second-round effects, turning supply shocks into demand-side pressures, requiring careful monitoring.
State-run fuel retailers incur losses of Rs 20 per litre on petrol and Rs 100 on diesel. The government rules out price hike, citing stability despite volatile crude oil prices.
Punjab has procured 94% of its estimated wheat arrivals, but lifting remains sluggish at 26%, causing congestion in mandis and raising concerns for the rabi season.
The RBI bulletin warns that the West Asia conflict and supply chain disruptions could challenge India's economic outlook, impacting inflation and growth.
The RBI bulletin highlights the need to monitor second-round effects of supply shocks due to the West Asia conflict, which could impact inflation and growth.
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RecommendedIndian cricketer KL Rahul collaborates with luxury brand Paul Shark to launch the SS26 capsule collection, blending sport and fashion.
Delhi mandates PUC certificate for fuel purchase from April 2026. Vehicle owners must get pollution check every 3 months to fill petrol/diesel. Non-compliance leads to fines.
International tourism bookings in Gujarat have dropped by 40% due to geopolitical tensions, affecting the state's tourism industry and local economy.
US Navy Secretary John Phelan has been dismissed amid tensions with Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth over the pace of shipbuilding and fleet modernization priorities.
Morgan Stanley reports India's FDI outlook remains mixed with robust gross inflows but weak net FDI due to rising outflows, impacting economic growth and investment climate.
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RecommendedGold and silver prices show sideways-to-bullish momentum, with MCX Gold targeting 163,000 and Silver aiming for 280,000. Key support levels at 149,000 and 235,000 crucial for maintaining uptrend.
The Indian rupee depreciated by 34 paise to 94.12 against the US dollar in early trade, pressured by heavy domestic equity selling and foreign investor withdrawals amid strong global demand for the American currency.
Oil prices slipped slightly on Thursday after strong gains, as investors weighed stalled Iran-US peace talks and ongoing restrictions on key shipping routes like the Strait of Hormuz. Brent crude fell to $101.76, while WTI dropped to $92.82.
A BMI report indicates India could miss its fiscal deficit target of 4.5% of GDP by FY27, citing high capital expenditure and subsidy pressures. The government aims for 5.1% in FY25.
Dipak Ghetia, a former diamond polisher in Surat, turned to selling ghughras after industry slowdown but faced new hurdles from the Iran war and gas shortage, mirroring struggles of many small entrepreneurs.
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RecommendedASSOCHAM predicts India's economy can sustain growth above 7% in FY26-27, even if crude oil prices reach $90-100 per barrel, driven by strong domestic demand and structural reforms.