Australian Open 2026 Women's Semi-Finals: AI Insights on Sabalenka's Quest for History
The stage is set for an electrifying day at the Australian Open 2026 as the women's singles semi-finals unfold on Thursday, 29 January. In a highly anticipated showdown, world number one Aryna Sabalenka faces off against the twelfth-ranked Elina Svitolina, with Sabalenka eyeing a remarkable fourth consecutive appearance in the Australian Open final. Meanwhile, the second semi-final pits Elena Rybakina against Jessica Pegula, promising intense competition and high stakes.
Sabalenka vs Svitolina: A Battle for Supremacy
Aryna Sabalenka enters this match with a formidable track record at Melbourne Park. Having clinched her first Australian Open title in 2023 by defeating Elena Rybakina, she successfully defended her crown the following year against Zheng Qinwen. Although she faced a setback last year with a loss to Madison Keys, Sabalenka remains a dominant force on these fast hard courts. Her powerful game and aggressive style have made her a perennial contender, and today she seeks to solidify her legacy by securing a spot in her fourth straight final.
On the other side of the net, Elina Svitolina is poised to make history of her own. This semi-final represents her best chance to reach an Australian Open final for the first time in her career, which would also mark her debut in a Grand Slam final. Svitolina's resilience and tactical acumen will be tested against Sabalenka's raw power, making this clash a fascinating contrast in styles.
AI Predictions for Sabalenka vs Svitolina
Leading AI models have weighed in on this high-profile encounter, offering insights based on form, match-ups, and historical performance:
- Google Gemini emphasizes Sabalenka's dominance, stating, "It's hard to bet against Aryna Sabalenka. She has been a force of nature in Melbourne over the last few years. If she clears Svitolina today, she'll likely face Rybakina in a heavyweight final. Sabalenka's power on these fast courts usually gives her the edge."
- Grok AI provides a more specific forecast, predicting, "Aryna Sabalenka wins in straight sets (likely something like 6-4, 7-5 or similar—expect a battle, but Sabalenka's level should prove too much on Rod Laver Arena hard courts). She advances to her fourth consecutive AO final."
- ChatGPT adds, "If we go purely by form, match-ups, and big-match temperament, Aryna Sabalenka starts as the clear favourite. Unless Sabalenka's unforced errors spiral, she should control the rallies and dictate play."
Rybakina vs Pegula: A Clash of Titans
The second semi-final features Elena Rybakina, ranked fifth, against Jessica Pegula, ranked sixth. Rybakina is riding an impressive eight-match winning streak against Top 10 opponents, showcasing her formidable serve and baseline prowess. She aims to return to the Australian Open final for the second time, having lost to Sabalenka in the 2023 final after winning the first set.
Jessica Pegula, meanwhile, is determined to reach her first Australian Open final. Her career highlight came in 2024 when she advanced to the US Open final, only to fall to Sabalenka. Pegula's consistency and strategic play make her a formidable opponent, setting the stage for a tightly contested match.
AI Predictions for Rybakina vs Pegula
AI analysis for this semi-final highlights the competitive balance and key factors that could influence the outcome:
- Google Gemini notes, "Rybakina is in terrifying form, riding an 8-match winning streak against Top 10 opponents. If the roof stays closed and the conditions are fast, her serve might be too much for Pegula to neutralise."
- Grok AI predicts, "Elena Rybakina wins in straight sets (something like 7-5, 6-4 or 6-3, 7-5—expect tight games early, but Rybakina's serve and power should prevail). She advances to the final, setting up a potential blockbuster (likely vs. Sabalenka)."
- ChatGPT offers a more nuanced view, stating, "On paper, it is almost perfectly balanced. Pegula and Rybakina are 3–3 head-to-head, and their matches are usually close and physical. Slight edge to Elena Rybakina, but expect a long three-set battle. This could easily go either way."
How to Watch the Australian Open 2026 Semi-Finals
For tennis enthusiasts in India, the Australian Open 2026 Women's Singles semi-finals will be accessible through multiple platforms. The matches will be live-streamed on the SonyLIV app and website, while television viewers can tune in to Sony Sports Network channels. The action kicks off with the Sabalenka vs Svitolina match at 2 PM (India time), followed by the Rybakina vs Pegula clash at 3:10 PM (India time).
As the tennis world turns its attention to Melbourne, these semi-finals promise to deliver thrilling narratives and potential historic milestones. With AI predictions favoring Sabalenka and Rybakina, fans can anticipate intense battles that could shape the future of women's tennis at the Australian Open 2026.