Today's Chanakya exit poll for West Bengal projects a significant political change in the 2026 Assembly elections, with the Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) taking a strong lead. The survey estimates the BJP winning around 192 seats in the 294-member Assembly, backed by a 48% vote share, indicating a possible first-time government formation in the state.
Key Projections
The All India Trinamool Congress (TMC), led by Mamata Banerjee, is projected to secure about 100 seats with a 38% vote share, suggesting a shift to the opposition after a long tenure in power. Other parties are expected to win only a few seats. The projection points to a highly competitive and changing political scenario in West Bengal.
Implications for West Bengal Politics
If the exit poll results hold true, it would mark a historic victory for the BJP in West Bengal, a state where the party has been striving to expand its footprint. For the TMC, this would be a significant setback after ruling the state for over a decade. The exit poll also highlights the volatile nature of West Bengal's political landscape, where voter preferences can shift dramatically.
Related news includes: Axis My India skipping Bengal exit polls after 70% voters refused to respond; Mamata questioning poll credibility and asking cadre to guard EVMs ahead of counting; and various other exit polls giving BJP an edge.



