Across Kerala, early trends in the 2026 Assembly election indicate a decisive shift in power, with the Congress-led United Democratic Front (UDF) surging ahead and poised for a commanding return to government.
UDF Leads in Over 100 Seats
The alliance is leading in over 100 of the 140 Assembly seats, comfortably crossing the majority mark, while the CPI(M)-led Left Democratic Front (LDF) is trailing far behind, struggling to retain even 40 constituencies. The Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP)-led National Democratic Alliance (NDA) remains a marginal player, leading in only a couple of seats.
Anti-Incumbency Against LDF
The trends point to strong anti-incumbency against the LDF government led by chief minister Pinarayi Vijayan, who initially trailed in his Dharmadam stronghold before regaining the lead in later rounds. Several senior ministers have also faced setbacks, challenging the ruling front.
Strong UDF Performances
On the other hand, key UDF leaders have delivered strong performances, with Ramesh Chennithala securing a convincing victory in Haripad. The alliance's gains appear to be driven by consolidation of minority votes, welfare-focused campaigning, and a broader voter push for change after two consecutive LDF terms.
Return to Alternating Governments
If these trends hold, Kerala is set to witness a return to its traditional pattern of alternating governments, with the UDF heading for a sweeping mandate and the LDF facing a significant electoral setback.
Full List of Winners & Losers
- Elathur: Vidya Balakrishnan (Congress) defeated A K Saseendran S O Kunjambu (NCP Sharadchandra Pawar)
- Eranakulam: T J Vinod (Congress) defeated Sabu George (Independent)
- Eravipuram: Vishnu Mohan (Revolutionary Socialist Party) defeated M Noushad (Communist Party of India Marxist)
- Ettumanoor: Nattakom Suresh (Congress) defeated V N Vasavan (Communist Party of India Marxist)
- Haripad: Ramesh Chennithala (Congress) defeated T T Jismon (Communist Party of India)
- Idukki: Roy K Paulose (Congress) defeated Roshy Augustine (Kerala Congress M)
- Irinjalakuda: Thomas Unniyadan (Kerala Congress) defeated R Bindu (Communist Party of India Marxist)
- Kaduthuruthy: Mons Joseph (Kerala Congress) defeated Nirmala Jimmy (Kerala Congress M)
- Kaipamangalam: K K Valsaraj (Communist Party of India) defeated T M Nazar (Congress)
- Kalliasseri: M Vijin (Communist Party of India Marxist) defeated Rajeevan Kappacheri (Congress)
- Karunagappally: C R Mahesh (Congress) defeated M S Thara (Communist Party of India)
- Kasaragod: Kallatra Mahin (Indian Union Muslim League) defeated Ashwini M L (BJP)
- Kodungallur: O J Janeesh (Congress) defeated V R Sunil Kumar (Communist Party of India)
- Koduvally: P K Firos (Indian Union Muslim League) defeated Saleem Madavoor (Independent)
- Kollam: Bindhu Krishna (Congress) defeated S Jayamohan (Communist Party of India Marxist)
- Kozhikode South: Fyzal Babu (Indian Union Muslim League) defeated Ahammad Devarkovil (Indian National League)
- Kunnathur: Ullas Kovur (Revolutionary Socialist Party) defeated Kovoor Kunjumon (KRSP Leninist Marxist)
- Malampuzha: A Prabhakaran (Communist Party of India Marxist) defeated C Krishnakumar (BJP)
- Muvattupuzha: Mathew Kuzhalnadan (Congress) defeated N Arun (Communist Party of India)
- Nattika: Geethagopi (Communist Party of India) defeated Sunil Laloor (Congress)
- Nemmara: K Preman (Communist Party of India Marxist) defeated A Thankappan (Congress)
- Neyyattinkara: N Shakthan (Congress) defeated K Ansalan (Communist Party of India Marxist)
- Nilambur: Aryadan Shoukath (Congress) defeated U Sharafali (Independent)
- Ottappalam: K Premkumar (Communist Party of India Marxist) defeated P K Sasi P K S S O Padmini Amma (Independent)
- Payyannur: V Kunhikrishnan (Independent) defeated T I Madhusoodanan (Communist Party of India Marxist)
- Peerumade: Cyriac Thomas (Congress) defeated K Salimkumar (Communist Party of India)
- Perumbavoor: Manoj Moothedan (Congress) defeated Basil Paul (Kerala Congress M)
- Pudukad: K K Ramachandran (Communist Party of India Marxist) defeated K M Baburajan (Congress)
- Punalur: C Ajayaprasad (Communist Party of India) defeated Noushad Younus (Indian Union Muslim League)
- Puthuppally: Chandy Oommen (Congress) defeated K M Radhakrishnan (Communist Party of India Marxist)
- Shornur: P Mammikutty (Communist Party of India Marxist) defeated P Harigovindan (Congress)
- Sulthanbathery: I C Balakrishnan (Congress) defeated M S Viswanathan (Communist Party of India Marxist)
- Tarur: Sumod (Communist Party of India Marxist) defeated Subramanian K C (Congress)
- Thavanur: V S Joy (Congress) defeated K T Jaleel (Independent)
- Thiruvambadi: C K Kasim (Indian Union Muslim League) defeated Linto Joseph (Communist Party of India Marxist)
- Thrikkakara: Uma Thomas (Congress) defeated Pushpa Das (Communist Party of India Marxist)
- Thrissur: Rajan J Pallan (Congress) defeated Alankode Leelakrishnan (Communist Party of India)
- Thrithala: V T Balram (Congress) defeated M B Rajesh (Communist Party of India Marxist)
- Udumbanchola: Senapathy Venu (Congress) defeated K K Jayachandran (Communist Party of India Marxist)
- Vadakara: K K Rema (Revolutionary Marxist Party of India) defeated M K Bhaskaran (RJD)
- Vamanapuram: Muhammed Sudheersha S (Congress) defeated Muraleedharan Nair D K (Communist Party of India Marxist)
- Vypen: Tony Chammany (Congress) defeated M B Shyni (Communist Party of India Marxist)
- Wadakkanchery: Xavier Chittilappilly (Communist Party of India Marxist) defeated P N Vaisakh (Congress)
As of 3.50 pm, May 4, 2026. Counting for remaining constituencies still under way.
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